My research draws on a wide range of data, with two major survey programs playing an important role: the long-running NielsenIQ survey experiments in the United States and the Global Subjective Expectations Survey (GSES), launched with the BIS in 2025 and conducted jointly by the EEC and BIS since 2026. Together, these projects study how people form expectations and how those expectations relate to economic behavior.
The sections below provide data and materials from these projects, alongside other datasets used in my research.
Customized NielsenIQ Surveys
Since 2015, customized surveys have been fielded to the NielsenIQ consumer (Homescan) panel, a U.S. household panel that records purchases by scanning them at home. The surveys combine households’ stated expectations, their scanned purchases and the prices they paid, and randomized information treatments, which allows the analysis to move from correlation to causation.
| Coverage | United States |
|---|---|
| Sampling | NielsenIQ consumer (Homescan) panel |
| Topics | Demographics, financial habits, inflation and price expectations, financial literacy and risk tolerance, credit card usage and debt |
| Distinctive feature | Expectations linked to scanned purchases and prices paid; randomized information treatments |
| Frequency | Annual (2015–2016); Quarterly since 2018 |
| Survey company | NielsenIQ |
| Reference articlesUsers of these data must cite these articles |
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The surveys are currently funded through NSF grant #2343698, hosted by the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Data access and questionnaires
The surveys are ongoing and have been fielded quarterly since 2018. The underlying data are released once the associated research has been published. The table lists the waves currently available upon request, with a link to the questionnaire for each wave.
| Wave | Fielded | Households sampled | Respondents | Questionnaire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Booth Expectations and Attitudes Survey (CBEAS) | ||||
| Wave 1 | June–July 2015 | 92,511 | 49,383 (39,809 households) | View |
| Wave 2 | June–July 2016 | 95,300 | 43,036 (35,694 households) | View |
| Chicago Booth Expectations and Communications Survey (CBECS) | ||||
| 2018 Wave 1 | April–May 2018 | 94,272 | 10,781 | View |
| 2018 Wave 1a | May–June 2018 | 82,062 | 13,729 | View |
| 2018 Wave 2 | September–October 2018 | 82,062 | 47,128 (32,658 households) | View |
| 2018 Wave 3 | December 2018 | 92,390 | 32,669 (29,348 households) | View |
| 2019 Wave 1 | March 2019 | 92,982 | 26,929 (24,886 households) | View |
| 2019 Wave 2 | June–July 2019 | 91,239 | 28,580 (26,661 households) | View |
| 2019 Wave 3 | September–October 2019 | 57,825 | 15,915 (15,029 households) | View |
Figures and latest results
Selected survey results, including more recent waves whose data are not yet available upon request. The figures are updated as new waves are completed.
EEC-BIS Global Subjective Expectations Survey (GSES)
Launched in 2025, this annual survey provides comparable evidence on households’ economic expectations across advanced and emerging economies. Its harmonized questionnaire enables cross-country comparisons of inflation expectations, perceptions of prices and wages, central bank knowledge, and information sources, while rotating special modules allow the survey to explore emerging economic questions. The survey is conducted by the European Expectations Center (EEC) in collaboration with the Bank for International Settlements (BIS). More data will be shared here soon.
| Coverage | 32 countries, about 65% of the world’s population and over 85% of global GDP |
|---|---|
| Methodology | Online survey panels with a harmonized sampling approach across waves. Samples are designed to be representative of each country’s adults aged 18–70 by age and gender, although they are not probability samples of the full population. Respondents are screened for age and attention, and the questionnaire is translated into each country’s official languages using a common protocol. |
| Distinctive feature | Harmonized questionnaire across countries, with rotating special modules |
| Frequency | Annual |
| Survey company | Cint |
| Research partner | Bank for International Settlements (BIS) |
| Reference articlesUsers of these data must cite these articles |
|
Data access and questionnaires
Data and questionnaires will be shared here soon.
| Wave | Fielded | Countries | Respondents | Questionnaire |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | March–April 2025 | 32 | More than 32,000 adults (about 1,000 per country) | Coming soon |
| 2026 | April–May 2026 | 32 | More than 64,000 adults (about 2,000 per country) | Coming soon |
Other Data & Replication Code
Replication data and code for selected papers.